The GBP/USD pair gathered bullish momentum early Tuesday and climbed above 1.1300. The near-term technical outlook suggests that buyers look to continue to dominate the pair’s action but investors could refrain from betting on further pound strength amid the uncertainty surrounding new British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak‘s fiscal plan.
Although the initial market reaction helped the UK’s FTSE 100 Index gain traction and allowed the sterling to stay resilient against its rivals, market participants remain skeptical about GBP/USD’s next direction. In a brief address on Monday, Sunak said that they were facing “profound economic challenges.”
Currently, the fiscal plan is scheduled to be unveiled on October 31, a few days before the Bank of England’s (BoE) monetary policy announcements. Some reports suggest that Sunak could postpone the budget announcement. In case the BoE is forced to set the policy rate before seeing the fiscal plan, it might refrain from taking an aggressive hawkish stance and cause the British pound to lose interest.
In the second half of the day, the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index data for October will be featured in the US economic docket. Monday’s reaction to dismal S&P Global PMI figures from the US suggests that investors are looking for confirmation in macroeconomic data that the Fed might reach its peak hawkishness with a 75 basis points rate hike in November. Hence, disappointing confidence data could hurt the greenback and vice versa.